Boersen Klaus

State of DAX for Calendar Week 42 Welcome to another episode of the blog post series "State of DAX". It is October the 23th and we've only 5 trading days left in October. So far this month has brought us a small turn around because it seems like the small correction has found an end. But how healthy is the current development and what's the short-term outlook? Technical Chart for DAX As usual, we'll start with the technical chart for DAX, created on tradingview.com: The index has been trading sideways within a range of 1000 points since April this year. On October the 15th, the DAX managed to break through the trendline/flag and also climbed above the important level of 15 500. Also, the SMA 200 still acts as a comfortable level of support and the index is expected to stay above this line. Let's zoom into the chart: The index climbed above the SMA 20 and tested it on the same day (14th October), which was a good confirmation of the short-term price movement. A

 State of DAX for Calender Week 41 Welcome to this week's blog post about the state of the DAX. Those who follow us on Twitter might have seen a tweet from Wednesday, stating that there are small signs that the current situations might become better soon:   German stock index #dax - recovery started? #marketbreadth data gets a little bit better (SMA data on first image delayed by one trading day). #dax40 must close above 15 270. SMA 20 is at 15308 (XETRA). pic.twitter.com/LmD3hCF6Dj — Boersen Klaus (@boersen_klaus) October 13, 2021   Shortly afterwards, the DAX began it's climb on the chart. Are we out of the trouble yet? Let's determine that by looking at the index from different perspectives.   Technical Chart for DAX As usual, we'll start with the technical chart for DAX,created on tradingview.com: The SMA 200 band has provided a confident level of support and the DAX managed to climb above the resistance levels 15 270 and 15 500. Also, the falling trendline was

Welcome to another episode of the blog post series State of DAX for Calender Week 40 October (or is it UPTOBER!11 ?) has already seen six trading days. The DAX went through difficult times during the last weeks, so it will be really interesting to determine the current state of the German leading stock index. Technical Chart for DAX Total gains/losses for DAX in October so far: ~ + 0,3% (XETRA) Here is the current technical chart for DAX, created on tradingview.com: This chart shows that the index has been moving between the wide range of 14 800 and 16 000 points since March. The all-time high was accomplished on Aug 13, and since then, the DAX has only know one direction - downwards. We've seen a number of falling highs, which means that we are inside of a correction. If this correction stays a healthy correction or becomes something worse, is not yet decided. On Oct 06, the lowest low since May was reached and the DAX has made some minor attempts to recover. The SMA 200 with a to

Latest Dow Jones Market Breadth Data   Dow Jones market breadth chart by https://www.advance-decline.net I've added some new tools that allow me to view more historical market breadth data for Dow Jones. I can now look back from April 2020 until today and this helps me to understand how the Dow Jones is doing today. Similar to the graphics I use with the state of DAX, I will generate this market breadth dashboard only when writing blog posts. I've not automated everything yet, so there can't be automated uploads to the website. The McClellan Oscillator for Dow Jones is below the zero line, but advancing. This doesn't look that bad. The McClellan Summation Index for Dow Jones declined, and compared to its high from May 2021, it's a huge decline (from ~ 48 to ~ 4,6). This is bearish. Some words on the technical situation: At the moment the Envelopes are not touched, so the index is not oversold. The index is trading below the SMA 20, though, and the RSI is still belo

State of DAX - Calender Week 39 The end of September was reached and October is finally here. What a month! September was brought the DAX losses > - 3,5%, as this blog post about relative index performance shows . People from the crypto scene are already talking about the "Uptober", because they expect that September is the weakest month of the year and it can only get better. While BitCoin, Ethereum and other crypto currencies already show signs of improvement, this can not be said for the German stock index DAX. So - where is this index standing and what can be expected from the next days or weeks? Technical Chart for DAX DAX technical chart created at tradingview.com   Let's face it: The DAX is captured within the range from 15 000 to 16 000. In this range, it is still trading below the SMA 20 and it even crossed the area around 15 000 again. Envelopes state that the index is oversold. The RSI is below 40 and points downwards, aiming at 30. That's the negative p

21Shares Crypto Basket Index ETP Market Breadth Data now available   Today, we've added market breadth data for the 21Shares Crypto Basket Index ETP .   The 21Shares Crypto Basket Index ETP (ticker: HODL) is a popular instrument to invest in crypto currencies. This security as a WKN and ISIN and can be traded with traditional broker accounts. The ETP covers the five biggest crypto currencies based on their market capitalization. When we added this crypto basket to our website on October the 2nd, the following five crypto currencies were covered: BitCoin, Polkadot, Ethereum, Cardana, Cosmos. As usually, we calculate the market breadth data for this index on daily basis (7 days a week).    

State of DAX - Calender Week 38 Vacation is over and another "State of DAX" report is due. During the past two weeks, we've seen a dip, realized that Evergrande in China is no longer able to pay out the investors and we still deal with the "usual" problems, such as the Corona pandemic. In addition, the amount of DAX components grew from 30 to 40. Lots of things are moving the DAX and it will be interesting to look at the state of the German stock index. Technical Chart for DAX DAX technical chart created at tradingview.com The DAX fell through the lower Envelope band and gave a clear oversold signal on the short-term time window. At the moment, the price is again between the Envelope bands but failed to reconquer the SMA 20. As long as the price is between the SMA 20 and the lower Envelope band, I speak of a bearish or weak phase on the short-term time window. At least the DAX managed to trade above 15 500 again, an important area of support and resistance. Howe

Dow Jones sprinting back to neutral zone Not there yet: After after a quick test of an old high from April (!), the Dow Jones aims to return to a neutral zone. Let's look at both the technical and the market breadth aspects. Technical perspective on Dow Jones Technical chart for Dow Jones created on tradingview.com   The Dow Jones fell through the lower Envelope bands and touched the old all-time high from April at ~ 33 623. Technically, the Dow Jones was in a short-term oversold zone for three trading days.   While the dip from 16th July ended at the rising trendline and was a healthy "higher low", this time the dip left the existing uptrend and also marked a "lower low" compared to the last dip (bearish on short-term). However, this was still an "higher low" compared to the dip we've seen on June the 18th (bullish on middle-term).   The price tried to return to it's SMA 20 but failed at breaking through the barrier at ~ 34 850 / 34 900. Also,

State of DAX - Calendar Week 36 Another seven days have passed since the last episode of our blog post series about the "State of DAX". This time we're looking at a trading week with a small loss (> 1%) while we are in the middle of a period with weak seasonality. Corona, Afghanistan, upcoming elections here in Germany, challenges for the economy, inflation and "interest angst" - there is plenty of reason for investors to stand on the sideline. Oh, and at the end of this month, we will be looking at the DAX 40 instead of the DAX 30. There will be much to talk about in the next weeks!   But let's focus on the state of the leading German stock index by looking at the data. Technical Chart for DAX   DAX technical chart created at tradingview.com   On last Thursday, the DAX touched the lower Envelope band, giving a short-term and small "oversold" signal. On Friday, the index managed to gain some ground again, moving away from the Envelopes, but stil

Dow Jones Roundup - Technical and Market Breadth This week played along with weak seasonality, providing no tailwind for the Dow Jones. After 4 trading days this week, losses have stacked up to ~ 2,16%. Reason enough for us to have a quick look at the leading US index. Dow Jones Technical Chart Technical chart for Dow Jones created at tradingview.com At first it looked like the zone around 34 900 might provide a level of support for the Dow Jones on its way down, but one trading day later the price fell through this area and landed on the trendline we've seen since mid of June. The last time this trendline acted as a spring-board back to the top. Will it be the same this time? The chance could be higher that the Dow Jones will remain near the 34 900 area for a while than the other scenario we've seen last time, where another short-term rally was started. On Friday, the upper boundaries of the lower Envelopes band crossed the trendline, so this was a strong indicator that the cu

Crypto Market Breadth according to BitPanda's Crypto Index BCI 10 (08.09.2021) BitPanda's Crypto Index BCI 10 has 10 components. It does not mirror the whole crypto market, but gives an impression about how crypto is currently doing.   Here is the market breadth data for the crypto index BCI 10: Market breadth data for BitPanda's crypto index BCI 10 provided by www.advance-decline.net   The market breadth data surely reflects the current development, meaning the little sell-off we saw during the last 24 hours. We now see less crypto currencies trading above their SMA 50, 100 and 200. The decline is particular strong for the percentage of members trading above their SMA 200 (current value is 60% compared to 2 trading days before where we had 100%). The McClellan Oscillator fell below the zero line and the McCllellan Summation Index started its decline (but is still on a high level, though). If only looking at market breadth, the current state is nothing more than a necessary

State of DAX - Calendar Week 35 It is Sunday again and with the end of this calendar week it is time to look back on the last five trading days and determine the "State of DAX". Before we do that, we take a short look on the recently announced stocks which will increse the DAX member count by 10, from DAX30 to DAX40: Airbus SE Zalando SE Siemens Healthineers AG Symrise AG HelloFresh SE Sartorius AG Vz Porsche Automobil Holding Brenntag SE Puma SE Qiagen N.V. The DAX 30 will be trading as the DAX 40 for the first time on September the 20th. Market Breadth for DAX 30   Here is the latest market breadth data for the German stock index DAX30: Market Breadth Data for DAX provided by https://www.advance-decline.net The Advance Decline Line for DAX declined more than the index did, which could be a sign of weakness. It means that probably only few DAX components hold up the flag for this index. The Advanced vs. Declined data was captured within a narrow range, with a breakout on th

Dow Jones somewhat in the middle of nowhere   Technical chart (1h) of the Dow Jones index Source: tradingview.com  The Dow Jones remains on a high level in a sideways phase for roughly 10 consecutive days. The SMA 20 (orange line) works as a stabilizer for now, although we've seen a dip beneath this line during the day. The Dow Jones also moves within a trend channel  (see image above). Right in the middle of this channel another trendline emerged, at apparently the SMA20 and this "middle trendline" come close today. So for now, this area seems to be a strong support.    You know that I am a big fan of the Envelopes indicator, since it is a very simple way to find out if an index is overheated or not. I've added a very simple version of the Envelopes to the chart above. As you can see, it confirms that the Dow Jones seems to be in the middle of nowhere because the price dances around the middle of the Envelopes as well (and the middle is the SMA 20 line). The red line

State of NASDAQ 100 on the last day in August 2021 Despite the summer season, the NASDAQ 100 index leaves August with gains as high as ~ 3,6 %.    What is the outlook for September? Here is the... Latest Market Breadth Data for NASDAQ 100     NASDAQ 100 Market Breadth Data Visualizations by advance-decline.net As expected yesterday , the NASDAQ 100 bounced away from the border of the upper Envelope band but still remained within the upper band. This means the index is slightly overheated on the daily time frame. The Advanced vs. Declined Data is negative for today.  The McClellan Oscillator also declined, but is still positive. The McClellan Summation Index, however, is climbing, but still negative. NASDAQ 100 Outlook for September Obviously, I can't make any predictions. The seasonality is again not strong for the first weeks of September, and on the technical chart, the Nasdaq 100 just bounced away from an important trend line. At the moment, the chart provides several limits fo

Envelopes Indicator now available for all stock indices About the Envelopes indicator and how we implemented it The Envelopes indicator is a very simple, but powerful way to determine if an index is overheated or oversold (if someone knows the correct opposite of the word "overheated" please let me know..). Basically, the Envelopes are shifted copies of an SMA. On https://www.advance-decline.net we use the SMA20, which is a fast and short-term simple moving average, and then add or subtract a few percentage points (our formula is a bit more complex, but you get the point). This provides two lines - the lower and the upper Envelope line, with each of them having a fixed distance to the middle, the SMA20. From our experience we know that the price tends to oscillate between the upper and the lower Envelope lines. Those lines act as a first line of support or resistance, maybe let's call them "soft resistance and support". Usually, the price will bounce at this li

State of DAX - Calendar Week 34 Another week has passed and we are looking again at the state of Germany's most important stock index, the DAX (30). I've put the number of index components behind the index name since this number will change soon. During mid September, the DAX will house 40 members and we are prepared to reflect this change in our tools and charts. Nervertheless, we still do have 30 Dax members and we are now ready to check on what we call the "health state" of the DAX. Quick overview: Market Breadth Data for DAX Before digging through the market breadth data and what it means, we shall have a look at our huge chart dashboard, containing the most relevant market breadth indicators for the DAX: Market Breadth for DAX: Deep dive It has been an interesting trading week with only little to gain for the DAX. Despite the seasonality, this index is holding up pretty good and we've seen no big dumps so far. But what does the market breadth data tell us? Ad

NASDAQ 100 Market Breadth - Where will the leading tech index go? Yesterday I already covered the Nasdaq 100 index and its market breadth data. Today I want to check what changed and if I was right about today's development: Advanced vs. Declined reached a positive extreme today, so there is a high chance that the index will have only small or no advances during the next trading day at all.  This turned out to be true. The Nasdaq 100 gained 0,29% today, which is good, but it's not a big jump. Advanced vs. Declined Data was in good balance today, so for tomorrow, there would be much room on the positive and the negative extreme. Technical analysts might look at the chart and see three things: There was a light bearish divergence with the RSI during the last weeks (but it's resolved now) The NASDAQ 100 is near a topping trend line which was touched end of July for the last time The NASDAQ 100 reached the upper side of a statistic corridor, meaning it is highly unlikly that