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State of Dow Jones - Calendar Week 41 2021

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State of Dow Jones - Calendar Week 41 2021 Welcome to the second episode of the blog post series "State of Dow Jones", where we look at the leading US stock index from different perspectives and try to determine how solid the current development is. Technical Chart for Dow Jones Every "State of Dow Jones" blog post should start with the technical chart, so here we go (created on tradingview.com): The Dow Jones overcame the old falling highs and the important resistance at 25 000, now trading at 35 294 points. The index is trading above its SMA 20 again and even went into the upper Envelope band. This means the Dow is slightly overheated and it is likely that the index will show a small pull-back before rising again. The RSI is at 60, three trendlines were identified and crossed during the last trading days. The technical chart provides us with enough confidence to say that the correction might be over and the outlook is neutral, or maybe even slightly bullish. Marke

Dow Jones Roundup (10.09.2021)

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Dow Jones Roundup - Technical and Market Breadth This week played along with weak seasonality, providing no tailwind for the Dow Jones. After 4 trading days this week, losses have stacked up to ~ 2,16%. Reason enough for us to have a quick look at the leading US index. Dow Jones Technical Chart Technical chart for Dow Jones created at tradingview.com At first it looked like the zone around 34 900 might provide a level of support for the Dow Jones on its way down, but one trading day later the price fell through this area and landed on the trendline we've seen since mid of June. The last time this trendline acted as a spring-board back to the top. Will it be the same this time? The chance could be higher that the Dow Jones will remain near the 34 900 area for a while than the other scenario we've seen last time, where another short-term rally was started. On Friday, the upper boundaries of the lower Envelopes band crossed the trendline, so this was a strong indicator that the cu

Mini break for NASDAQ 100 - for now

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Mini break for NASDAQ 100 - for now The NASDAQ 100 took a mini break from chasing new record highs and is now trading within a narrow range. Technical chart (daily) for the NASDAQ 100 Technical chart (daily) created at tradingview.com The technical chart with the simple Envelopes reveals that the index is no longer considered as overheated and the RSI confirms this. The distance to the SMA 20 remains high but declined a little bit. One earlier high at 15447 serves as a level of confidence while one level above, at 15526, proved itself as a level of support, setting the lower limit for the current trading range.   As long as the index remains above 15 447 on the daily chart, there is nothing to worry about.   Technical chart (hourly) for the NASDAQ 100   Technical chart (hourly) created at tradingview.com   Talking of trading range - the hourly chart of the NASDAQ 100 with modified Evenlope settings gives a nice impression of the current range where a mini break and mini consolidation a

State of DAX - Calendar Week 35

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State of DAX - Calendar Week 35 It is Sunday again and with the end of this calendar week it is time to look back on the last five trading days and determine the "State of DAX". Before we do that, we take a short look on the recently announced stocks which will increse the DAX member count by 10, from DAX30 to DAX40: Airbus SE Zalando SE Siemens Healthineers AG Symrise AG HelloFresh SE Sartorius AG Vz Porsche Automobil Holding Brenntag SE Puma SE Qiagen N.V. The DAX 30 will be trading as the DAX 40 for the first time on September the 20th. Market Breadth for DAX 30   Here is the latest market breadth data for the German stock index DAX30: Market Breadth Data for DAX provided by https://www.advance-decline.net The Advance Decline Line for DAX declined more than the index did, which could be a sign of weakness. It means that probably only few DAX components hold up the flag for this index. The Advanced vs. Declined data was captured within a narrow range, with a breakout on th

Crypto breadth data (Advance Decline Line, McClellan indicators, over SMA 200 data etc.) for (Crypto) Indices

Market breadth data, such as Advance Decline Data, for Crypto currency indices I am currently looking into generating breadth data, such as the Advance Decline Line, Advanced vs. Declined, the McClellan Summation Index, the McClellan Oscillator or "members above SMA50/100/200" for the crypto market. Scouting Crypto indices The first step would be to identify relevant crypto indices for my purpose. This is what I've found so far: S&P Crypto Indices - can't find the components so far (am I blind??) BitPanda Crypto Indices BCI5 (Bitcoin, Ethereum, BNB, Doge, Polkadot) BCI10 (BCI 5 + others) BCI25 (BCI 15 + 15 others) WorldCoinIndex Bloomberg Crypto Indices   Since Bitocin and Ethereum have the largest market cap by far, creating crypto indices doesn't make much sense if you don't have a weight limit for the biggest crypto currencies. But when comparing the prices to the breadth data, such as the Advance Decline Line, one gets a better impression if the crypto

Market breadth data: Advanced vs. Declined and McClellan indicators

Visualizing the pulse of Financial Markets Welcome to my first post on my new financial blog. It is important to know that everything you read here is just a way of expressing my opinion. Please do not consider it as financial analysis, consulting or buy/sell recommendation. About me and my market observations I do not consider myself a trader or investor. My goal is to find a way to put money into the capital market while reducing risks and anticipating big changes in trends. In my personal investment plan for retirement, ETFs play a huge role. I like passive index fonds because they basically mirror stock indices. Stock indices always represent parts of a market or a whole sector. In contrast to single securities, they represent a bride spectrum of exchange listed companies, and as a "group of stocks" they are less vulnerable to unexpected or extreme price movements. This is why some general rules of analyzing or anticipating price movements apply, and I find it rewarding