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State of Dow Jones - Calendar Week 41 2021

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State of Dow Jones - Calendar Week 41 2021 Welcome to the second episode of the blog post series "State of Dow Jones", where we look at the leading US stock index from different perspectives and try to determine how solid the current development is. Technical Chart for Dow Jones Every "State of Dow Jones" blog post should start with the technical chart, so here we go (created on tradingview.com): The Dow Jones overcame the old falling highs and the important resistance at 25 000, now trading at 35 294 points. The index is trading above its SMA 20 again and even went into the upper Envelope band. This means the Dow is slightly overheated and it is likely that the index will show a small pull-back before rising again. The RSI is at 60, three trendlines were identified and crossed during the last trading days. The technical chart provides us with enough confidence to say that the correction might be over and the outlook is neutral, or maybe even slightly bullish. Marke

State of Dow Jones - Calendar Week 40

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State of Dow Jones - Calendar Week 40 I publish the "State of DAX" report every weekend, and after I've added some tooling to calculate the same market breadth data for the Dow Jones as well, I've decided that I can also publish a report on the state of the Dow Jones index. Those "reports" are just simple blog posts which try to interpret the current technical and market breadth situation, from my personal perspective and with my limited knowledge. "State of Dow Jones" might be a name that is too big for this blog post series, but I can't think of any other (good) name at the moment. So here we are, starting a new blog post series. Welcome and let's start!   Technical Chart for Dow Jones Total gains/losses for the Dow Jones in October so far: ~ 1,22% Here is the current technical chart for the Dow Jones index, created on tradingview.com: The Dow Jones has seen some interesting trading days! The range between 33 227 and 33 810 is a very impo

Dow Jones roundup

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A quick roundup for Dow Jones Dow Jones Market Breadth With this blog post I will provide the latest market breadth data for the Dow Jones index. At the time of writing, the data for today was not delivered yet by our provider, this is why today is not yet included yet in the dashboard. Here is the long-term view of Dow Jone's market breadth data (image provided by https://www.advance-decline.net ):   The McClellan Summation Index for Dow Jones allows comparing the strength of the summer months with today's situation. We can clearly see that bulls have their troubles with the Dow Jones index. Here is the middle-term view of Dow Jone's market breadth data (image provided by https://www.advance-decline.net ) so we can get into detail: The McClellan Oscillator for Dow Jones recovered and is now above the zero line again. This is a slightly bullish sign. The McClellan Summation Index stopped declining but still has very low values. Maybe we will see a bottom here. Now to the in

Dow Jones latest market breadth

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Latest Dow Jones Market Breadth Data   Dow Jones market breadth chart by https://www.advance-decline.net I've added some new tools that allow me to view more historical market breadth data for Dow Jones. I can now look back from April 2020 until today and this helps me to understand how the Dow Jones is doing today. Similar to the graphics I use with the state of DAX, I will generate this market breadth dashboard only when writing blog posts. I've not automated everything yet, so there can't be automated uploads to the website. The McClellan Oscillator for Dow Jones is below the zero line, but advancing. This doesn't look that bad. The McClellan Summation Index for Dow Jones declined, and compared to its high from May 2021, it's a huge decline (from ~ 48 to ~ 4,6). This is bearish. Some words on the technical situation: At the moment the Envelopes are not touched, so the index is not oversold. The index is trading below the SMA 20, though, and the RSI is still belo

Indices performance in September

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Relative performance of stock indices in September Probably the chart of the month: The image above shows the relative performance of selected stock indices. As you can see, most indices performed badly during September. Only Nikkei 225 was able to carry some gains into the next month. HangSeng > -6% Nasdaq 100 > -5% Dow Jones ~ -4% Dax ~ -3,5% Nikkei 225 ~ +2,7%   Relative indices performance of last 6 months   Relative indices performance of last 12 months   Relative indices performance of last 12 months compared to Bitcoin and Ethereum Bitcoin: From 100% to 406% Ethereum: From 100% to 840%

Dow Jones and DAX quick analysis

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Dow Jones and DAX quick analysis The first trading day after the elections in Germany is over. Reason enough to take a quick look at the DAX. Its bigger brother, the Dow Jones, is always an interesting index so I don't need a particular reason for a quick analysis. DAX situation Technical chart for DAX created at tradingview.com The DAX started very good into this trading day with gains around ~ +1,21%. Experts say that many investors liked that the outcome of the elections in Germany make an unwanted constellation for a government coalition impossible. Instead, stability can be expected from the next German government. Other investors seemed to be scared of long negotiations between the parties that could form the next coalition. During the day, those gains shrunk to ~ +0,27%, but a gain is a gain. On the chart it means that the DAX continues to trade below the SMA 20, but at least it trades above the important support line at 15 500. The RSI is still below 50. Technically, the si

Dow Jones sprinting back to neutral zone

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Dow Jones sprinting back to neutral zone Not there yet: After after a quick test of an old high from April (!), the Dow Jones aims to return to a neutral zone. Let's look at both the technical and the market breadth aspects. Technical perspective on Dow Jones Technical chart for Dow Jones created on tradingview.com   The Dow Jones fell through the lower Envelope bands and touched the old all-time high from April at ~ 33 623. Technically, the Dow Jones was in a short-term oversold zone for three trading days.   While the dip from 16th July ended at the rising trendline and was a healthy "higher low", this time the dip left the existing uptrend and also marked a "lower low" compared to the last dip (bearish on short-term). However, this was still an "higher low" compared to the dip we've seen on June the 18th (bullish on middle-term).   The price tried to return to it's SMA 20 but failed at breaking through the barrier at ~ 34 850 / 34 900. Also,

Vacation Time Roundup (2021)

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Vacation Time Roundup (2021) What happened during the last 10 days? Vacation is over :( and it is time to catch up with the markets. What happened during the last 10 days? blog.advance-decline.net listed as a Top 100 Trading Blog on Feedspot I'm happy to announce that Feedspot recently included this little blog here into its list of the Top 100 Trading Blogs in the web. Feedspot helps you to discover and follow interesting blogs covering various topics, including trading and investing. Check out their website if you are open to discover new and interesting blogs! Major indices dropped The chart above visualizes the price development for selected indices during the last 10 days, compared to market opening on day one. Almost all selected indices declined and did not recover yet from the sharp drop we've seen with its lowest low on September the 20th: The German tech stock index TECDAX gained 0,74% during this period The indices NASDAQ 100, Dow Jones, SDAX, DAX, TECDAX, MDAX, Ni

Dow Jones Roundup (10.09.2021)

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Dow Jones Roundup - Technical and Market Breadth This week played along with weak seasonality, providing no tailwind for the Dow Jones. After 4 trading days this week, losses have stacked up to ~ 2,16%. Reason enough for us to have a quick look at the leading US index. Dow Jones Technical Chart Technical chart for Dow Jones created at tradingview.com At first it looked like the zone around 34 900 might provide a level of support for the Dow Jones on its way down, but one trading day later the price fell through this area and landed on the trendline we've seen since mid of June. The last time this trendline acted as a spring-board back to the top. Will it be the same this time? The chance could be higher that the Dow Jones will remain near the 34 900 area for a while than the other scenario we've seen last time, where another short-term rally was started. On Friday, the upper boundaries of the lower Envelopes band crossed the trendline, so this was a strong indicator that the cu

Dow Jones below the SMA20 again

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Dow Jones below the SMA 20 again While the NASDAQ 100 loves to create new all-time highs, the Dow Jones seems to be eager to test its current trend range. Dow Jones: Technical situation Technical chart for Dow Jones created at tradingview.com   The Dow Jones fell through the SMA 20 line (which supported the price for more than 10 trading days), ignored the support at 35150 (see pink line in the chart) and stopped at a previously tested trendline within the bigger trend channel.    The next support is located at 34849. Since the price stopped several times at this level, it might be as well considered as a strong support area.   If the current phase of weakness should not grow into a phase of correction, it is crucial that this level will hold. After that, the limiting trendline (currently at 34540) and the lower border of the simple Envelopes (34256) could be the next targets.  From a technical point of view, the Dow Jones has potential for  0,7% - 1,5% more decline.   Market Breadth

Dow Jones somewhat in the middle of nowhere

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Dow Jones somewhat in the middle of nowhere   Technical chart (1h) of the Dow Jones index Source: tradingview.com  The Dow Jones remains on a high level in a sideways phase for roughly 10 consecutive days. The SMA 20 (orange line) works as a stabilizer for now, although we've seen a dip beneath this line during the day. The Dow Jones also moves within a trend channel  (see image above). Right in the middle of this channel another trendline emerged, at apparently the SMA20 and this "middle trendline" come close today. So for now, this area seems to be a strong support.    You know that I am a big fan of the Envelopes indicator, since it is a very simple way to find out if an index is overheated or not. I've added a very simple version of the Envelopes to the chart above. As you can see, it confirms that the Dow Jones seems to be in the middle of nowhere because the price dances around the middle of the Envelopes as well (and the middle is the SMA 20 line). The red line

18th August 2021 S&P500 Dow Jones Nasdaq 100 Market Breadth

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  Fed minutes causing drops in major US indices Today's published Fed minutes indicate that there are thoughts about ending the money flood this year instead of next year or the year after. This led to a small sell off. Now, market breadth data - including today's trading day - is interesting. All three major US indices that are listed below - the S&p 500, the Dow Jones and the NASDAQ 100 - reached extreme values for their Advanced vs. Declined data. Usually, if such an extreme is reached, there is at least a small reaction in the opposite direction. It will be interesting to see on Thursday if the markets realize that today's news weren't so bad at all. Will the markets calm down tomorrow?       S&P 500 Source for market breadth data: advance-decline.net   For S&P 500, the McClellan Summation Index is still in a good place. The short-term indicator McClellan Oscillator, however, is negative the second day in a row. Dow Jones The Dow Jones McClellan Oscillat

Dow Jones Advance Decline Line and McClellan Oscillator

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I want to take the opportunity to show you the latest market breadth data for the Dow Jones index. I'll start by posting a screenshot of todays's Dow Jones Advance Decline Line and will then add the Dow Jones McClellan Oscillator. Afterwards, you'll see the current values for the Dow Jones McClellan Summation Index. Dow Jones Advance Decline Line The full index charting dashboard for Dow Jones, including the Advance Decline Line, can be found on advance-decline.net. Dow Jones McClellan Oscillator The full index charting dashboard for Dow Jones, including the McClellan Oscillator, can be found on advance-decline.net. Dow Jones McClellan Summation Index   The full index charting dashboard for Dow Jones, including the McClellan Summation Index, can be found on advance-decline.net. One note on seasonality When making investment decisions, please keep in mind that we have a weak seasonality with the first year of Biden's presidency and being in the mid of this year's sum

Advance Decline Line for SMI, Nikkei225, Nasdaq 100 and many more

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Here is today's Advance Decline Line and Advanced vs. Declined data for several international stock indices. STOXX EUROPE 600 AEX 25 Amsterdam Index ATX Dow Jones Nasdaq 100   Nikkei 225   SMI    

Advance Decline Line and Advanced vs. Declined for Dow Jones and Dax and S&P 500 and Euro Stoxx 50 and Nasdaq 100

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  Dow Jones Advance Decline Line and Advanced vs. Declined     Dax Advance Decline Line and Advanced vs. Declined S&P 500 Advance Decline Line and Advanced vs. Declined Euro Stoxx 50 Advance Decline Line and Advanced vs. Declined   Nasdaq 100 Advance Decline Line and Advanced vs. Declined   State: 19.07.2021 or 2021-07-19

Market breadth data: Advanced vs. Declined and McClellan indicators

Visualizing the pulse of Financial Markets Welcome to my first post on my new financial blog. It is important to know that everything you read here is just a way of expressing my opinion. Please do not consider it as financial analysis, consulting or buy/sell recommendation. About me and my market observations I do not consider myself a trader or investor. My goal is to find a way to put money into the capital market while reducing risks and anticipating big changes in trends. In my personal investment plan for retirement, ETFs play a huge role. I like passive index fonds because they basically mirror stock indices. Stock indices always represent parts of a market or a whole sector. In contrast to single securities, they represent a bride spectrum of exchange listed companies, and as a "group of stocks" they are less vulnerable to unexpected or extreme price movements. This is why some general rules of analyzing or anticipating price movements apply, and I find it rewarding