Posts

Showing posts with the label chart

State of Dow Jones - Calendar Week 41 2021

Image
State of Dow Jones - Calendar Week 41 2021 Welcome to the second episode of the blog post series "State of Dow Jones", where we look at the leading US stock index from different perspectives and try to determine how solid the current development is. Technical Chart for Dow Jones Every "State of Dow Jones" blog post should start with the technical chart, so here we go (created on tradingview.com): The Dow Jones overcame the old falling highs and the important resistance at 25 000, now trading at 35 294 points. The index is trading above its SMA 20 again and even went into the upper Envelope band. This means the Dow is slightly overheated and it is likely that the index will show a small pull-back before rising again. The RSI is at 60, three trendlines were identified and crossed during the last trading days. The technical chart provides us with enough confidence to say that the correction might be over and the outlook is neutral, or maybe even slightly bullish. Marke

State of Dow Jones - Calendar Week 41 2021

Image
State of Dow Jones - Calendar Week 41 2021 Welcome to the second episode of the blog post series "State of Dow Jones", where we look at the leading US stock index from different perspectives and try to determine how solid the current development is. Technical Chart for Dow Jones Every "State of Dow Jones" blog post should start with the technical chart, so here we go (created on tradingview.com): The Dow Jones overcame the old falling highs and the important resistance at 25 000, now trading at 35 294 points. The index is trading above its SMA 20 again and even went into the upper Envelope band. This means the Dow is slightly overheated and it is likely that the index will show a small pull-back before rising again. The RSI is at 60, three trendlines were identified and crossed during the last trading days. The technical chart provides us with enough confidence to say that the correction might be over and the outlook is neutral, or maybe even slightly bullish. Marke

State of DAX - Calender Week 41 2021

Image
 State of DAX for Calender Week 41 Welcome to this week's blog post about the state of the DAX. Those who follow us on Twitter might have seen a tweet from Wednesday, stating that there are small signs that the current situations might become better soon:   German stock index #dax - recovery started? #marketbreadth data gets a little bit better (SMA data on first image delayed by one trading day). #dax40 must close above 15 270. SMA 20 is at 15308 (XETRA). pic.twitter.com/LmD3hCF6Dj — Boersen Klaus (@boersen_klaus) October 13, 2021   Shortly afterwards, the DAX began it's climb on the chart. Are we out of the trouble yet? Let's determine that by looking at the index from different perspectives.   Technical Chart for DAX As usual, we'll start with the technical chart for DAX,created on tradingview.com: The SMA 200 band has provided a confident level of support and the DAX managed to climb above the resistance levels 15 270 and 15 500. Also, the falling trendline was

State of Dow Jones - Calendar Week 40

Image
State of Dow Jones - Calendar Week 40 I publish the "State of DAX" report every weekend, and after I've added some tooling to calculate the same market breadth data for the Dow Jones as well, I've decided that I can also publish a report on the state of the Dow Jones index. Those "reports" are just simple blog posts which try to interpret the current technical and market breadth situation, from my personal perspective and with my limited knowledge. "State of Dow Jones" might be a name that is too big for this blog post series, but I can't think of any other (good) name at the moment. So here we are, starting a new blog post series. Welcome and let's start!   Technical Chart for Dow Jones Total gains/losses for the Dow Jones in October so far: ~ 1,22% Here is the current technical chart for the Dow Jones index, created on tradingview.com: The Dow Jones has seen some interesting trading days! The range between 33 227 and 33 810 is a very impo

State of DAX - Calender Week 40

Image
Welcome to another episode of the blog post series State of DAX for Calender Week 40 October (or is it UPTOBER!11 ?) has already seen six trading days. The DAX went through difficult times during the last weeks, so it will be really interesting to determine the current state of the German leading stock index. Technical Chart for DAX Total gains/losses for DAX in October so far: ~ + 0,3% (XETRA) Here is the current technical chart for DAX, created on tradingview.com: This chart shows that the index has been moving between the wide range of 14 800 and 16 000 points since March. The all-time high was accomplished on Aug 13, and since then, the DAX has only know one direction - downwards. We've seen a number of falling highs, which means that we are inside of a correction. If this correction stays a healthy correction or becomes something worse, is not yet decided. On Oct 06, the lowest low since May was reached and the DAX has made some minor attempts to recover. The SMA 200 with a to

Dow Jones latest market breadth

Image
Latest Dow Jones Market Breadth Data   Dow Jones market breadth chart by https://www.advance-decline.net I've added some new tools that allow me to view more historical market breadth data for Dow Jones. I can now look back from April 2020 until today and this helps me to understand how the Dow Jones is doing today. Similar to the graphics I use with the state of DAX, I will generate this market breadth dashboard only when writing blog posts. I've not automated everything yet, so there can't be automated uploads to the website. The McClellan Oscillator for Dow Jones is below the zero line, but advancing. This doesn't look that bad. The McClellan Summation Index for Dow Jones declined, and compared to its high from May 2021, it's a huge decline (from ~ 48 to ~ 4,6). This is bearish. Some words on the technical situation: At the moment the Envelopes are not touched, so the index is not oversold. The index is trading below the SMA 20, though, and the RSI is still belo

DAX falling and rebounding as expected

Image
DAX falling and rebounding as expected An arrogant headline, true. Market breadth data simply nailed it and yesterday, I announced on twitter that anti-cyclical traders will have their chance : Dax nearly touched the lower Envelope band today. The last time this happened was nearly two months ago. The index is trading below its SMA 20 and the McClellan Oscillator reached -2 again. Good chance to buy the dip if you're anti-cyclical. #dax #trading #marketbreadth pic.twitter.com/bmgqJmzXD9 — Boersen Klaus (@boersen_klaus) September 8, 2021   But also the technical chart provided an indication how deep the DAX might fall today. Technical chart and analysis for DAX Technical chart for DAX with Envelopes and RSI, created on tradingview.com The orange trendlines mark the ongoing mini consolidation for the DAX. The limiting line on the top was already present, but it was unclear, at least for me, where its counterpart at the bottom would appear. But after today's trading day, it

Nikkei 225 - rally break or turnaround?

Image
Nikkei 225 - rally break or turnaround? After some incredible days for Japan's leading stock index it is time to look at the technical and market breadth data. Will we get a glimpse of what's about to happen next? Technical situation of Nikkei 225 Technical chart created at tradingview.com   The Nikkei 225 had a breakout and left the bullish flag behind. After three strong trading days, the price is more than 3,8% away from the upper Envelope border (simple version). According to this measurement, the index is still overheated but since the Envelopes are also rising, they will eventually be on the same level again within a couple of trading days.   Even more interesting is the fact that the SMA 20 is now ~6,7 % away and honestly, this is an extreme value. This underlines the strength of the trend, but also creates some worries since we all know that the price tends to come back to the SMA 20 at some point.    The Nikkei 225 managed to overcome the level at 29480 and the barrier

Dow Jones somewhat in the middle of nowhere

Image
Dow Jones somewhat in the middle of nowhere   Technical chart (1h) of the Dow Jones index Source: tradingview.com  The Dow Jones remains on a high level in a sideways phase for roughly 10 consecutive days. The SMA 20 (orange line) works as a stabilizer for now, although we've seen a dip beneath this line during the day. The Dow Jones also moves within a trend channel  (see image above). Right in the middle of this channel another trendline emerged, at apparently the SMA20 and this "middle trendline" come close today. So for now, this area seems to be a strong support.    You know that I am a big fan of the Envelopes indicator, since it is a very simple way to find out if an index is overheated or not. I've added a very simple version of the Envelopes to the chart above. As you can see, it confirms that the Dow Jones seems to be in the middle of nowhere because the price dances around the middle of the Envelopes as well (and the middle is the SMA 20 line). The red line

State of NASDAQ 100 on last day in August 2021

Image
State of NASDAQ 100 on the last day in August 2021 Despite the summer season, the NASDAQ 100 index leaves August with gains as high as ~ 3,6 %.    What is the outlook for September? Here is the... Latest Market Breadth Data for NASDAQ 100     NASDAQ 100 Market Breadth Data Visualizations by advance-decline.net As expected yesterday , the NASDAQ 100 bounced away from the border of the upper Envelope band but still remained within the upper band. This means the index is slightly overheated on the daily time frame. The Advanced vs. Declined Data is negative for today.  The McClellan Oscillator also declined, but is still positive. The McClellan Summation Index, however, is climbing, but still negative. NASDAQ 100 Outlook for September Obviously, I can't make any predictions. The seasonality is again not strong for the first weeks of September, and on the technical chart, the Nasdaq 100 just bounced away from an important trend line. At the moment, the chart provides several limits fo

Nikkei 225: Buy signal close?

Image
Nikkei 225 Japan stock index: Is a buy signal close?   The technical chart doesn't look so good for the Nikkei 225. It has been showing lower lows for quite a while now and it failed to form a bottom during the last two weeks. Let's check where we are standing with the market breadth data?   As you can see, the long-term indicator McClellan Summation Index formed a top and then began its rapid decline. It's a positive thing, however, that it did not decline any further during this trading day. The short-term indicator McClellan Oscillator has been below the zero line for 6 days in a row and is now near zero again.  Some consider crossing the zero line a buying signal, so one could hope for a good trading session tomorrow and then have a trigger for a long trade. It's not so clear for me, though. The secondary trend of the Nikkei 225 is downwards, meaning one would buy against the current trend. So if you are looking for a buy signal, maybe combine positive market breadt

NASDAQ 100 Market Breadth - Will this index continue to advance?

Image
NASDAQ 100 Market Breadth - Where will the leading tech index go? Yesterday I already covered the Nasdaq 100 index and its market breadth data. Today I want to check what changed and if I was right about today's development: Advanced vs. Declined reached a positive extreme today, so there is a high chance that the index will have only small or no advances during the next trading day at all.  This turned out to be true. The Nasdaq 100 gained 0,29% today, which is good, but it's not a big jump. Advanced vs. Declined Data was in good balance today, so for tomorrow, there would be much room on the positive and the negative extreme. Technical analysts might look at the chart and see three things: There was a light bearish divergence with the RSI during the last weeks (but it's resolved now) The NASDAQ 100 is near a topping trend line which was touched end of July for the last time The NASDAQ 100 reached the upper side of a statistic corridor, meaning it is highly unlikly that

Market breadth charting and automated updates - progress report

Image
I started working on two different solutions for automatically charting all the breadth indicators for an index, including the ability to automatically proce an image (PNG) export so it can be uploaded automatically to a simple website. My first approach was to export snapshots (as screenshots) from my data dashboards. This would still be a valid solution. My second attempt, the one I am currently working on, is to produce all the charts myself. The advantage here is that I do not have to rely on my previous dashboard tool which also shows non-trading days, thus deforming the charts. The image below is an export of my first attempt to create an all-in-one "chart dashboard" with all the market breadth indicators. It works better than I thought. The graphic below is actually a working interactive charting dashboard, so one can slide through time and zoom in etc. However, I don't think I will present the results as an interactive chart, because this would mean that I need ev