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Showing posts with the label SMA

State of Dow Jones - Calendar Week 41 2021

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State of Dow Jones - Calendar Week 41 2021 Welcome to the second episode of the blog post series "State of Dow Jones", where we look at the leading US stock index from different perspectives and try to determine how solid the current development is. Technical Chart for Dow Jones Every "State of Dow Jones" blog post should start with the technical chart, so here we go (created on tradingview.com): The Dow Jones overcame the old falling highs and the important resistance at 25 000, now trading at 35 294 points. The index is trading above its SMA 20 again and even went into the upper Envelope band. This means the Dow is slightly overheated and it is likely that the index will show a small pull-back before rising again. The RSI is at 60, three trendlines were identified and crossed during the last trading days. The technical chart provides us with enough confidence to say that the correction might be over and the outlook is neutral, or maybe even slightly bullish. Marke

Dow Jones and DAX quick analysis

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Dow Jones and DAX quick analysis The first trading day after the elections in Germany is over. Reason enough to take a quick look at the DAX. Its bigger brother, the Dow Jones, is always an interesting index so I don't need a particular reason for a quick analysis. DAX situation Technical chart for DAX created at tradingview.com The DAX started very good into this trading day with gains around ~ +1,21%. Experts say that many investors liked that the outcome of the elections in Germany make an unwanted constellation for a government coalition impossible. Instead, stability can be expected from the next German government. Other investors seemed to be scared of long negotiations between the parties that could form the next coalition. During the day, those gains shrunk to ~ +0,27%, but a gain is a gain. On the chart it means that the DAX continues to trade below the SMA 20, but at least it trades above the important support line at 15 500. The RSI is still below 50. Technically, the si

Nikkei 225 slightly overheated 01.09.2021

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Nikkei slightly overheated New month, new "overheated" alert! From my point of view, the Nikkei 225 looks slightly overheated after breaking out from lower levels. Nikkei 225 Market Breadth and Envelopes The price touched the envelopes and almost reached the border of the upper band. The last time the Nikkei 225 crossed the upper Envelopes band was in February 2021. Since then, every time it touched the upper band, it bounced back one trading day later. The Advance decline Line did not rise above the last high, which is some kind of divergence.  The McClellan Oscillator for Nikkei 225 reached the highest level since mid August and the McClellan Summation Index for Nikkei 225 just touched the value 30 line. From a technical point of view, this index is now looking stronger than during the last weeks. It will be interesting to see if the break out will continue. PS: The Nikkei 225 closed above the SMA 200 today. It was closing above the SMA 20 two trading days ago.

Envelopes Indicator now available for all stock indices

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Envelopes Indicator now available for all stock indices About the Envelopes indicator and how we implemented it The Envelopes indicator is a very simple, but powerful way to determine if an index is overheated or oversold (if someone knows the correct opposite of the word "overheated" please let me know..). Basically, the Envelopes are shifted copies of an SMA. On https://www.advance-decline.net we use the SMA20, which is a fast and short-term simple moving average, and then add or subtract a few percentage points (our formula is a bit more complex, but you get the point). This provides two lines - the lower and the upper Envelope line, with each of them having a fixed distance to the middle, the SMA20. From our experience we know that the price tends to oscillate between the upper and the lower Envelope lines. Those lines act as a first line of support or resistance, maybe let's call them "soft resistance and support". Usually, the price will bounce at this li