Crypto Market Barometer released on

  Crypto Market Barometer released Today I published my simple but easy-to-read Crypto Market Barometer on our website Click here to get to the new Crypto Market Barometer. This is how the main chart looks like: What's behind the new Crypto Market Barometer We believe that one simple but effective method of gauging the health of a market is to look at how many of the most important individual assets trade above their important SMAs. Since SMAs are a proven way of determining the current trend, a market must be in an uptrend, if more than 50% of its biggest assets trade above their long-term SMAs. If they trade below their long-term SMAs, they must be in a downtrend. For the crypto market, I decided to check the popular BitPanda Crypto Index BCI10. It contains the 10 biggest crypto currencies by market capitalization, and frankly, by only looking at BitCoin, Ethereum, Polkadot and maybe Binance, we already have most of the market covered (again, in

State of Dax - Calendar Week 32

Hello and welcome to today's blog post about the

State of Dax

for Calendar Week 32


This is the first blog post involving the Dax since this index reached a new all-time high a couple of days ago. It will be interesting to see what the state of the DAX is compared to last week.

So - what is the current state of the German stock index DAX?


Big picture: All your market breadth indicators for DAX

Of course I will provide you with the latest data for the market breadth indicators.
Here is the usual indicator chart dashboard:

The indicators in detail

  • Advance Decline Line for DAX:
    •  Same as last week - the Advance Decline Line reflects the price movement
  • Advanced vs. Declined for DAX:
    •  Looking almost identical to last week - no changes here
  • McClellan Oscillator for DAX
    •  Clearly bullish now, almost reaching the threshold value "2", where the indicator usually tends to fall again; for the next days it would be highly unlikely that this indicator will continue to rise for more than one or two more days
  • McClellan Summation Index for DAX
    •  Last value from Friday is -0,37 (rounded), so almost at the zero line; if this indicator is above zero, some would see this as a signal to enter the market; however, as I said, the short-term indicator McClellan Oscillator is almost overheated, so I am not sure if for short-term windows the timing would be good  to enter a trade
  • Percentage of Dax members trading above their SMA50:
    •  70% of DAX members currently trade above their SMA50, which is a bigger value than we saw a week ago; clearly confirming the positive trend
  • Percentage of Dax members trading above their SMA100:
    • 63,33%,  slightly higher than last week
  • Percentage of Dax members trading above their SMA200:
    •  80%, no change compared to last week

Last week I claimed that a new all-time high could be imminent, and the breadth data of the last trading days supported this statement. Now for the next trading days, I expect that the DAX could cool off a bit, however, for the long-term, the outlook seems to be positive.

Don't forget that August is a weak trading month where trading volume is low. So let's not give our signals to much weight.


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