State of Dow Jones - Calendar Week 41 2021

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State of Dow Jones - Calendar Week 41 2021 Welcome to the second episode of the blog post series "State of Dow Jones", where we look at the leading US stock index from different perspectives and try to determine how solid the current development is. Technical Chart for Dow Jones Every "State of Dow Jones" blog post should start with the technical chart, so here we go (created on tradingview.com): The Dow Jones overcame the old falling highs and the important resistance at 25 000, now trading at 35 294 points. The index is trading above its SMA 20 again and even went into the upper Envelope band. This means the Dow is slightly overheated and it is likely that the index will show a small pull-back before rising again. The RSI is at 60, three trendlines were identified and crossed during the last trading days. The technical chart provides us with enough confidence to say that the correction might be over and the outlook is neutral, or maybe even slightly bullish. Marke

Nikkei 225 reaching new lows (20.08.2021)

Nikkei 225 index and Advance decline Line reaching new lows

On 16.02.2021, Japan's Nikkei 225 index started its correction on a very high level.
At the moment, the index is trading 12,77% lower than on that specific day in February this year.

Looking at the chart, a new low was reached a couple of hours ago, and even the Advance Decline Line followed the price, also reaching a new low in this correction.
The Advanced vs. Declined data, however, went up during the last trading day.
This doesn't mean anything yet, though.
The McClellan Oscillator declined the third trading day in a row, while the McClellan Summation Index is already on day four of declining.

Although we reached new lows, it doesn't mean that the correction will gain speed again. When looking at the plain candle chart (we don't have that one here, I know), it actually seems like a bottom could have been reached at the LOW of the last trading day (~ 26 978). This seems to be a support level, at it will be interesting to see if it will hold. If not, the index might drop another 11-12%.

The Advance Decline Line reached a new high a couple of trading days ago, while the index itself did not. Some might say we had observed a little bullish divergence, but in this case, I am not sure if it will be of any purpose.

Let's see.

 

 

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